The best estimate is that McCain has a 1 in 50 chance of winning today. Ultimately, he got beat by a better candidate. McCain made things worse for himself by making some bad decisions, particularly running away from the political center and picking Palin. Then he got jobbed by the economy at the last minute. However, what really must drive him crazy was being a victim of George W. Bush twice.
Bush ran a dirty primary campaign against him in 2000, using unfounded rumors to turn the religious right against him, and the fiscal conservatives and libertarian republicans sold their souls to a fake messiah. If they would have stuck with McCain and nominated him, he probably beats Gore without a recount in 2000, and would just be completing his second term. He'd have kept his eye on the ball in Afghanistan, and wouldn't have invaded Iraq, and we wouldn't have become an international pariah because of unilateralism and torture. Instead, Bush wins and turns into one of the 5 worst presidents ever, poisoning the well for McCain in 2008.
Hey, John, we know the deck was stacked against you. Sorry, man, but we understand and like you, so you'll get a third act as the lion of the senate.
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